Author: Colton Hayes

UNITED STATES — Ask almost any experienced meteorologist where forecasts are most likely to go sideways, and the answers are surprisingly consistent. From the Great Lakes and Central Plains to the Front Range of Colorado and the Mid-Atlantic coast, these regions combine geography, terrain, and competing air masses in ways that make accurate forecasting exceptionally…

UNITED STATES — Forecast models are beginning to flag the potential for a significant Mid-Atlantic to New England winter storm late next week, but meteorologists caution that the setup is far from a lock and highly sensitive to timing and storm-track details. Recent GFS model runs are advertising a high-end, low-probability scenario involving a large,…

KANSAS — A school bus slid into a ditch near Jetmore, Kansas, Friday evening, an incident believed to be directly linked to dangerous winter storm conditions impacting central and western parts of the state. The crash occurred as heavy snow, strong winds, and rapidly deteriorating road conditions created near-zero visibility and slick travel surfaces across…

LOUISIANA — Forecasters are closely monitoring a strong to locally severe weather threat through the evening and overnight hours, with the highest risk expected between 6 PM and 12 AM, primarily impacting northern and western portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, and nearby areas of Alabama. Coastal locations are expected to see lower overall risk, though storms…

UNITED STATES — As active weather patterns return across Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia, Tennessee, and much of the Southeast, meteorologists are urging residents to refresh a critical piece of weather safety knowledge: the difference between a weather watch and a weather warning. Understanding this distinction can make a life-saving difference when severe storms, flash flooding, or…

ALABAMA — A slow-moving line of rain and thunderstorms is pushing across the state this morning and will continue to affect Alabama through tonight and into early tomorrow, bringing periods of heavy rainfall, localized flooding concerns, and a limited threat of strong to severe storms before a sharp cold air push arrives late Saturday night…

UNITED STATES — The Climate Prediction Center (CPC) has issued an experimental slight risk of heavy snowfall covering a broad corridor from the Northeast United States southward through the Appalachian region and into Northeast Tennessee, signaling increasing confidence that mid- to late January could feature one or more impactful winter weather systems. The risk window…

UNITED STATES — Updated ECMWF ensemble guidance indicates a notable shift in the mid-January winter pattern, with storm potential around January 15–16 becoming less favorable than earlier projections, while a secondary window from January 18–20 remains possible but highly uncertain. The latest data suggests increasing interference between upper-level waves, reducing the likelihood of a well-organized…

MIDWEST — The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued Mesoscale Discussion #11, highlighting a zone of isolated damaging wind gusts and a brief tornado risk across parts of Illinois, Indiana, and Missouri as a line of thunderstorms continues to move east this evening. Forecasters say a severe thunderstorm watch is unlikely at this time, but…

ILLINOIS — A tornado warning has been issued for Shelbyville and surrounding areas of central Illinois as a strong, fast-moving thunderstorm shows signs of rotation on radar, prompting urgent warnings for residents to seek shelter immediately. Radar imagery indicates a well-defined circulation embedded within heavy rain, moving across portions of Shelby County and nearby communities….