Author: Colton Hayes

CALIFORNIA — New forecast data and rainfall observations confirm that California remains locked in a wet Pacific-driven storm pattern, with Southern California experiencing exceptionally high rainfall totals and no meaningful break in precipitation expected through mid to late January. Long-range ensemble guidance indicates only a brief and weak drying window before another significant surge of…

UNITED STATES — Long-range ensemble guidance from the ECMWF is signaling a notable pattern change between January 12 and January 16, with atmospheric signals pointing toward renewed cold shots across the eastern United States and a low-confidence but monitor-worthy East Coast storm setup. While this does not appear to be a major winter storm at…

UNITED STATES — Latest ECMWF ensemble guidance shows a pattern transition underway across the United States, driven by a positive EPO (+EPO) trough over Alaska that is temporarily flooding the country with milder Pacific air, before a mid-January shift toward colder, more active winter conditions across the Eastern U.S. What the Current Pattern Shows Right…

UNITED STATES — ECMWF ensemble guidance continues to highlight the January 12–16 timeframe as a period to monitor closely, with a strong western ridge and a deepening East Coast trough beginning to align. While this does not currently signal a major winter storm, the evolving pattern supports cyclogenesis potential along the East Coast and light…

UNITED STATES — Latest ECMWF, GFS, and CMC ensemble guidance strongly suggests a notable large-scale pattern change developing between January 12 and January 16, with the Eastern United States emerging as the primary impact zone. Multiple long-range signals now align on a deep eastern trough, increasing cold air delivery, and a setup that could support…

WISCONSIN — Another round of freezing rain and icy conditions is expected to develop late Monday afternoon through Monday night, with the highest risk concentrated along and north of Interstate 94, according to the latest National Weather Service guidance and regional impact maps. Forecast data shows a high probability (greater than 70%) of icing across…

UNITED STATES — After a prolonged stretch of warmer-than-normal January weather, new upper-atmospheric pattern data suggests parts of New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Maryland, Virginia, and North Carolina could see a transition toward a more active winter setup after the middle of the month, though meteorologists emphasize that forecast confidence remains low at this range….

INDIANA — A developing weather pattern across the Midwest is shaping up to be disappointing for snow lovers, with Indiana, Illinois, and Ohio expected to see very limited snowfall over the next week as dry air dominates and milder temperatures move in. Recent forecast data and snowfall outlook maps show that the core of meaningful…

UNITED STATES — Forecasters are monitoring a potential increase in severe weather risk by the end of the coming week across parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia, though officials stress that forecast confidence remains low due to ongoing model inconsistencies. Long-range ensemble guidance suggests a more active upper-level pattern may begin to…

CONNECTICUT — A weak but persistent winter system is expected to bring flurries Sunday morning followed by steadier light snow Monday afternoon into Monday evening, creating the potential for slick roads and minor travel disruptions, especially during the Monday evening commute, according to the latest regional forecast data. Forecast graphics show most of Connecticut receiving…