NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES — A winter storm is looking increasingly likely to impact the Northeast this weekend, with the potential for widespread accumulating snow from Sunday into Monday. Forecast confidence is trending upward for a broad swath of snowfall, especially closer to the I-95 corridor and into coastal New England—where heavier bands could set up…
WASHINGTON, D.C. TO BOSTON — Whether the I-95 corridor sees a blockbuster blizzard or a complete miss may hinge on a feature thousands of miles away — a ridge building over the Pacific Northwest near Boise, Idaho. Meteorologists are closely watching the Pacific-North American (PNA) pattern, as a strong ridge over the Northwest could set…
PENNSYLVANIA — Forecast confidence remains exceptionally low ahead of the approaching Sunday snowstorm, as major global models continue to produce dramatically different snowfall outcomes — especially for Philadelphia and surrounding parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Morning model updates show projected totals for Philadelphia ranging from as much as 24 inches… to 6 inches… to…
FLORIDA AND THE GULF COAST — Lingering La Niña conditions continue to suppress rainfall across the Deep South, and new extended model guidance shows significantly below-normal precipitation persisting through late March — a trend that could sharply elevate wildfire risk across Florida and Gulf Coast states. The latest 35-day precipitation anomaly outlook highlights widespread negative…
INDIANA — The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has upgraded portions of central and southern Illinois and southwest Indiana to an Enhanced Risk (Level 3 of 5) for severe weather today, highlighting an increased tornado threat — including the potential for strong tornadoes (EF2 or higher). The latest outlook shows a 10% probability of a significant…
WASHINGTON, D.C. — A developing Sunday–Monday winter storm remains highly track-dependent, and new probability guidance shows a growing corridor of measurable snow potential stretching from the Mid-Atlantic into southern New England. Forecast data now indicates a medium chance of at least 3 inches of snow across parts of Washington, D.C., Philadelphia, New York City, and…
MARYLAND — A growing divide between two major global weather models is setting the stage for a high-stakes forecast battle ahead of the Sunday–Monday winter storm, with dramatically different snowfall implications for Baltimore and surrounding areas. At the heart of the disagreement is how the upper-level trough evolves over the central and eastern United States…
ARKANSAS — A developing surface low positioned over the Mid-South is raising concerns for tornado potential this afternoon, as forecast data shows strong low-level instability and favorable vorticity across parts of eastern Arkansas, southeast Missouri, and western Tennessee. New high-resolution model guidance suggests that while mid-level temperatures could limit widespread convection, the setup may still…
MARYLAND — A developing Sunday–Monday storm system for February 23 is creating growing concern across the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, with new model guidance showing dramatically different outcomes depending on how close the low-pressure center tracks to the coast. Ensemble projections reveal a cluster of possible storm positions offshore, with central pressures ranging from the 1000s…
OHIO — A heightened tornado threat is unfolding across parts of the Midwest today, with forecasters adding a 10% probability of significant tornadoes (EF2 or stronger) across portions of Illinois and Indiana. The updated outlook places much of the Ohio Valley under an enhanced risk, signaling the potential for damaging winds, large hail, and a…