Author: Colton Hayes

UNITED STATES — Just when it appeared the upcoming Sunday snow threat might fade, the 12z runs of both the European (ECMWF) and its AI-driven AIFS model are once again signaling accumulating snowfall across parts of the Mid-Atlantic — including Washington D.C., Baltimore, and central Maryland. Forecasters caution that this remains a highly sensitive setup,…

UNITED STATES — Long-range model guidance is beginning to signal the possibility of another coastal system developing late next week, with both the GFS and Canadian (CMC) models showing a storm in the Northeast around Friday into early Saturday. While it is still more than a week away and confidence remains low, the 6z GFS…

UNITED STATES — Severe weather is expected to make a return this weekend across parts of Texas and neighboring Gulf Coast states, with the Storm Prediction Center outlining a risk area for Saturday, February 14, 2026. The highlighted region includes a broad portion of central and eastern Texas, extending into western Louisiana and parts of…

UNITED STATES — As a multi-day severe weather stretch unfolds across parts of the Southern Plains and Gulf Coast, longer-range guidance is beginning to hint at what could follow once this three-day event winds down. New ensemble data from the GEFS (Global Ensemble Forecast System) tracking the daily sum of CONUS Significant Tornado Parameter (SCP)…

DENVER, COLORADO — Increasing clouds will thicken across the Front Range today, with rain showers likely developing in Denver after 3 p.m., while colder air over higher terrain turns precipitation to snow above 7,000 feet — creating slick travel conditions in the mountains after dark. Early afternoon highs in Denver are expected to reach the…

UNITED STATES — With the previously anticipated Sunday night system now officially off the table, attention has shifted to a new potential winter threat developing for mid next week — and the European model is taking a noticeably colder and more aggressive stance than its American counterpart. The latest ECMWF guidance paints a wintry scenario…

UNITED STATES — A notable disagreement has emerged in the forecast for Sunday night into Monday, as the AI-driven European model (ECMWF AIFS) is tracking a significantly farther-north snowstorm compared to nearly every other major solution. While most traditional guidance keeps the system suppressed to the south — focusing heavier snow offshore or across the…

UNITED STATES — A multi-day severe weather outbreak is unfolding across the Southern Plains and Gulf Coast, with thunderstorms expected to intensify from west Texas and Oklahoma today, spreading into eastern Texas, Louisiana, and eventually the central and eastern Gulf Coast states by Sunday. Forecasters have outlined a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) to…

UTAH — Confidence is increasing that parts of northern Utah could see their first meaningful valley snowfall of the season next week, as forecast models come into stronger agreement on a sharp cold front sweeping into the state by Wednesday morning. According to the latest National Blend of Models (NBM) 2.5 km guidance, rain is…

UNITED STATES — While much of the country is expected to ride out a generally mild pattern through late February and into early March, new longer-range European model guidance is hinting at a potential colder turn during the back half of March, particularly across the central and northern United States. The latest ECMWF 14-day ensemble…