Author: Colton Hayes

MINNESOTA — Forecast guidance is raising eyebrows across the Upper Midwest as long-range model data signals the potential for an extraordinary Arctic outbreak late this month, one that could push temperatures toward levels rarely seen in modern U.S. climate records. While all-time cold records are difficult to break, the pattern now emerging suggests life-threatening cold…

TENNESSEE — A midweek weather system is expected to bring rain on Wednesday that transitions to snow showers Wednesday evening, with snowfall gradually diminishing on Thursday. Forecast data indicates the highest chances for measurable snow accumulation will be focused in East Tennessee, the northern Tennessee Valley, and southwest Virginia, particularly in higher elevations. How the…

UNITED STATES — Slow but steady forecast trends continue to point toward a developing coastal storm late this week, raising the potential for accumulating snow across parts of New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Maine. While confidence in exact impacts remains low, ensemble guidance shows increasing probabilities for at least 3 inches of snow,…

ALABAMA — A powerful rain event over the past two days left parts of central Alabama saturated, with a narrow but intense corridor of heavy rainfall dumping 6 to 10 inches of rain from Silas in Choctaw County through Valley Grande in Dallas County and into Clanton in Chilton County, according to storm-total precipitation data….

FLORIDA — A significant cold snap is increasingly likely to impact Florida beginning Friday morning, January 16, as a surge of Arctic air drives unseasonably cold temperatures deep into the Southeast. Forecast guidance shows widespread freezing conditions pushing into Central Florida, with much colder-than-normal air expected to linger through next weekend. What Forecast Models Are…

UNITED STATES — A new long-range run of the 0z NAM model is hinting at the development of a Nor’easter from Thursday into Friday, stretching from Washington, D.C. through Pennsylvania and New York and into Massachusetts. While the system is still at the far edge of model reliability, the latest guidance aligns with earlier signals…

UNITED STATES — Nearly all major global climate datasets are now converging on the same signal: the United States is heading toward an El Niño pattern for the upcoming summer months, a shift that historically reshapes temperature and rainfall trends across large portions of the country. While this does not guarantee a mild summer everywhere,…

OREGON — Valley fog is becoming increasingly widespread across Oregon’s West Central Mountains and Malheur County, with forecasters warning that morning fog coverage is expected to increase in the coming days as a persistent temperature inversion settles over the region. The fog is forming primarily in low-lying valleys during overnight and early morning hours, reducing…

INDIANA — Parts of the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic, including Indiana, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and areas near Washington, D.C., are facing a low-confidence but notable chance of snow late Thursday into Thursday night, according to recent computer model guidance. Forecast signals suggest a sharp dip in the jet stream could trigger a developing coastal storm, but whether…

WASHINGTON — A strong ridge of high pressure is building over the Pacific Northwest this week, setting up a prolonged period of temperature inversions, widespread fog, and persistently low visibility across western Washington and western Oregon, according to multiple ECMWF model datasets analyzed through mid-January. Forecast guidance shows the ridge strengthening aloft, allowing very warm…