UNITED STATES — Seasonal forecast models once painted a broad dry signal across Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Colorado for late spring into summer — but what actually unfolded on the ground told a far different story. New comparisons between last year’s European seasonal precipitation outlook for May, June and July and the observed rainfall anomalies…
UNITED STATES — March is arriving with a dramatic shift in weather across the Central and Eastern United States, as forecast models signal an unusually mild and increasingly active pattern that could quickly raise flooding concerns from Texas and Oklahoma through Arkansas, Missouri, Illinois and Indiana. New 7–14 day ensemble guidance valid into mid-March shows…
UNITED STATES — A surge of deep Gulf and Atlantic moisture is setting the stage for a growing thunderstorm threat across central Florida and the I-4 corridor Friday evening into the overnight hours, with forecasters highlighting unusually high atmospheric moisture and increasing lightning potential. New ECMWF guidance valid late Friday night shows precipitable water (PWAT)…
UNITED STATES — Utah is shifting into a far more active and unsettled weather pattern, with multiple storm systems lining up over the next week — a setup that could bring widespread valley rain, heavy mountain snow, and no real stretch of dry weather, especially across northern and central parts of the state. Latest high-resolution…
UNITED STATES — A major disruption is unfolding high above the Arctic, and new model guidance suggests it could translate into a sharp Eastern U.S. cold pattern by mid-March — potentially impacting Arkansas and much of the Southern Plains. Recent ECMWF stratospheric data valid around March 6 shows a clear polar vortex split in the…
UNITED STATES — A strengthening subsurface warm signal east of the international dateline is now measuring stronger than what was observed at the same time in 1997 — the year that went on to produce one of the most powerful El Niño events on record. New five-day equatorial Pacific data ending February 24, 2026, shows…
UNITED STATES — A notable pattern change is taking shape across the Central and Eastern United States, with significantly warmer temperatures expected from March 6 through March 15, including across Arkansas and much of the Southern Plains. The latest temperature outlook map shows widespread above-average warmth stretching from Texas and Oklahoma through Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi,…
WASHINGTON, D.C. — The nation’s capital is experiencing its most severe winter in more than 15 years, with new data showing the 2025–2026 season ranks as the harshest since the historic 2009–2010 winter. According to the Midwest Regional Climate Center’s Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index (AWSSI), this winter currently sits on the borderline between the…
WYOMING — A powerful cold front is pushing south out of Wyoming into Nebraska and is set to surge through Colorado and western Kansas through the afternoon and evening, bringing strong winds, mountain snow and scattered thunderstorms to parts of the central Rockies and High Plains. The frontal boundary, already slicing across southern Wyoming near…
THORNTON, COLORADO — Evacuation orders were issued after a fire broke out in Thornton, prompting authorities to clear homes, businesses and a local high school while shutting down a major stretch of Interstate 25. According to the alert, evacuations are underway in parts of Thornton due to an active fire. Officials confirmed that I-25 is…