UNITED STATES — While much of the country is expected to ride out a generally mild pattern through late February and into early March, new longer-range European model guidance is hinting at a potential colder turn during the back half of March, particularly across the central and northern United States. The latest ECMWF 14-day ensemble…
CALIFORNIA — A prolonged and powerful winter pattern is poised to unload massive snowfall totals across the Sierra Nevada over the next week, with some high-elevation locations potentially surpassing 100 inches of accumulation if current projections verify. Latest ECMWF (European) model guidance through February 22 shows a broad swath of extreme snow totals stretching the…
MARYLAND — Nearly three weeks after a single significant winter storm swept through the Mid-Atlantic, much of the region is still blanketed in measurable snow — an unusual and impressive sight for mid-February outside of the higher elevations. Current snow depth analysis shows that areas across western Maryland, northern Virginia, Washington D.C., and parts of…
UNITED STATES — The latest 00Z European (EURO) model run, about 120 hours out, is keeping a significant winter storm signal alive for the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast — with a heavy snow axis stretching from central Pennsylvania through northern New Jersey, southeastern New York, and into southern New England. While still several days away and…
UNITED STATES — Any brief moderation in temperatures across the Northeast may prove short-lived, as long-range ensemble guidance shows another surge of cold air poised to spill south from Canada into New England, New York and the Great Lakes toward the final week of February. Latest extended-range model data valid around February 24 through early…
FLORIDA — All eyes are on the radar this Sunday as a fast-moving line of rain threatens to move into central and northeast Florida later in the day — right as fans prepare for the Daytona 500. Forecast models show a band of showers and embedded thunderstorms sweeping east across the Southeast, with the main…
TEXAS — Parts of West Texas and the Permian Basin could see isolated severe thunderstorms Friday evening, February 13, with hail emerging as the primary concern from Midland–Odessa south and west toward Fort Stockton and Alpine. Forecast guidance indicates a Level 1 out of 5 Marginal Risk for severe weather across portions of the region,…
UNITED STATES — A storm system moving out of the Southwest is set to bring moderate to locally heavy rainfall across portions of the southern United States this weekend, with flash flood concerns shifting east from Oklahoma and Texas into the Deep South and Southeast by Sunday. Forecast guidance for February 13–15 shows a multi-day…
UNITED STATES — After weeks of colder-than-average conditions, a noticeable warming trend is poised to develop across the Eastern United States next week, with several Northeast and Mid-Atlantic states expected to see their first consistent above-average highs in roughly five weeks. Forecast model guidance shows a broad upper-level ridge expanding across much of the eastern…
UNITED STATES — A widespread storm system sweeping across the southern United States from Friday through the weekend is expected to bring a broad swath of heavy rainfall, with several states facing the risk of localized flash flooding through early Monday morning. According to the latest National Weather Service rainfall outlook, the heaviest totals are…