UNITED STATES — A strong signal for widespread above normal temperatures is developing across much of the country for the period of March 5 through March 9, with Arkansas positioned squarely inside a high probability warm zone. The 6 to 10 day temperature probability outlook shows a broad area of elevated odds for warmer than…
UNITED STATES — A strengthening storm system moving across the Plains is expected to trigger severe thunderstorms on Wednesday, impacting parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and western Arkansas, including areas near Fort Smith. Forecast guidance highlights a corridor of severe thunderstorm risk stretching from north Texas through central and eastern Oklahoma into southern Kansas and…
UNITED STATES — A burst of springlike warmth is spreading across parts of Virginia and Maryland today, with many communities climbing into the 60s before a cold front sweeps through and sends temperatures tumbling sharply by Sunday. Current observations show widespread mid to upper 60s across northern and central Virginia, including Fredericksburg, Culpeper, Fauquier County,…
UNITED STATES — A growing signal in long range machine learning guidance is pointing toward multiple rounds of severe weather developing across the southern Plains and lower Mississippi and Ohio Valleys beginning next week, with the strongest corridor stretching from Texas and Oklahoma through Arkansas, Missouri, Tennessee and Kentucky. The Day 7 machine learning total…
UNITED STATES — A developing storm system moving out of the Southwest is expected to increase thunderstorm chances across portions of Oklahoma, Texas, Arkansas and Louisiana on Wednesday, March 4, with the potential for severe weather by the afternoon and evening hours. The Day 5 outlook highlights a 15 percent severe hazard risk zone stretching…
UNITED STATES — The surge of warmth expected next week across parts of the country will not mark the start of a lasting spring pattern. Long range guidance already signals that colder air is poised to return to much of the central and eastern United States by mid March. The latest ECMWF temperature anomaly forecast…
UNITED STATES — Forecast models are signaling a round of severe weather potential around the March 10 timeframe, stretching from Texas north through Arkansas, Missouri, and into parts of Illinois and Indiana. While the setup supports thunderstorms capable of producing tornadoes, damaging wind, and hail, current projections suggest the overall severity may remain limited rather…
UNITED STATES — A very active and wet weather pattern is setting up across the central and eastern United States over the next couple of weeks, bringing widespread drought relief to the Plains, Mid-South, Midwest, and Ohio Valley — but also raising the threat of flooding where heavy rain falls quickly. New precipitation projections through…
UNITED STATES — Forecast guidance continues to signal a strong and persistent Bermuda high setting up along the East Coast next weekend into the following week, potentially delivering widespread 70s and even 80-degree temperatures from the Carolinas north through Virginia and Maryland before colder air may return later in the month. The pattern, projected for…
CALIFORNIA — A strengthening upper-level trough diving south through the Great Basin could set the stage for a notable Santa Ana wind event in Southern California roughly seven days from now, according to the latest long-range model guidance. The projected setup shows a pronounced dip in the jet stream carving into California and Nevada, with…