INDIANA — A dangerous severe weather setup is unfolding across the Ohio Valley today, with southeast Illinois into central and southern Indiana now under an enhanced risk for long-track supercells capable of producing a strong tornado. Latest short-range guidance shows a volatile environment developing from late morning through the evening hours, with storms expected to…
MID-ATLANTIC STATES — The highest probability of at least 3 inches of snowfall Sunday into Monday is currently centered across Virginia, Maryland, West Virginia, Delaware and southern Pennsylvania, as a developing coastal storm threatens to rapidly intensify off the East Coast. Forecast guidance indicates the Mid-Atlantic has the strongest signal for accumulating snow between February…
MICHIGAN — A powerful winter storm is wrapping moisture northwest into entrenched cold air across the Upper Great Lakes, setting the stage for widespread snowfall and potentially extreme totals near the U.S.–Canada International Border. Forecast guidance shows the heaviest snow focusing across northern Minnesota, northern Wisconsin, and especially Michigan’s Upper Peninsula, where localized totals could…
EAST COAST – A developing winter storm signal is beginning to show for late Sunday into Monday, with the latest ECMWF guidance highlighting a complex but potentially favorable setup for a coastal system impacting parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. While this is not a locked-in forecast, the large-scale pattern is aligning in a way…
EAST COAST – The potential for a late-weekend into early-next-week Nor’easter remains on the table, and the latest ECMWF guidance shows a pattern that could still deliver a meaningful coastal storm — if the timing and interaction of several embedded energy pieces align close enough to shore. The setup is complex, featuring multiple shortwaves racing…
NORTHEAST – The latest 6Z Euro AI run has shifted noticeably west compared to its previous cycle, placing a stronger swath of accumulating snow across the I-95 corridor from Washington and Baltimore northward into parts of New Jersey — while also increasing totals across southeastern New England. At this stage, it’s too early to call…
WASHINGTON, D.C. – After weeks of snow and ice, many residents are asking the same question: how can we still be in severe drought? The latest data from the U.S. Drought Monitor and seasonal precipitation records show that while winter weather has added moisture, it has not come close to erasing the long-term deficit that…
OHIO VALLEY – A round of severe weather is possible tomorrow afternoon and evening as storms develop west of the region and move eastward, placing several major cities at risk for damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes. The highlighted threat area stretches from portions of southern Illinois and Indiana eastward through Kentucky, Ohio,…
BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – A Sunday into Monday system is still on the table for the Mid-Atlantic, but the latest ensemble guidance shows a wide spread in snowfall probabilities, especially for the Baltimore metro area. While it will not be exceptionally cold, the setup could feature a rain-to-snow transition. The key question now is how much…
PENNSYLVANIA – The reason weather talk is “pretty quiet” this morning is showing up at 500mb: the weekend pattern doesn’t come together in time, and even when it tries, it’s not an ideal setup for a major East Coast storm. Instead of phasing into one stronger system, the energy looks split—with the southern piece sliding…