Major Severe Weather Outbreak Targeting Wisconsin Through Oklahoma With Tuesday Severe Risk Also Developing Late Monday Into Tuesday Night
CENTRAL US — A major severe weather outbreak remains on track from Wisconsin through Oklahoma Monday into Monday night, with the CSU model showing extremely high severe probabilities across the outlined purple and pink core zone. A secondary severe weather risk also develops Tuesday through Tuesday night across a broad area stretching into the Southeast. Locally the watch window runs from late Monday through late Tuesday.
Monday Carries the Highest Outbreak Probability Across the Purple Core Zone
The CSU model probability forecast for Monday shows values reaching 0.565, placing this among the most significant severe weather setups in recent memory for the central US corridor. The purple and pink high probability core stretches from Wisconsin southward through Illinois, Missouri, Kansas, and into Oklahoma with all hazard modes expected.
The hatched significant tornado area embedded within the highest probability zone confirms violent tornado potential across the core corridor Monday afternoon and evening.
Tuesday Severe Risk Expands Eastward With Broad Coverage Into the Southeast
Tuesday’s CSU model shows a probability of 0.275 across a wider but less intense severe weather zone pushing eastward into the Southeast. The yellow and brown probability shading covers a large geographic area from the Plains through the mid-South and into the mid-Atlantic corridor.
Communities across Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and the Southeast should monitor Tuesday’s developing threat closely as the system pushes east.
Local Watch Window Runs Late Monday Through Late Tuesday for All Outlined Areas
The local severe weather window spans from late Monday through late Tuesday, covering back-to-back dangerous weather days for communities across the outlined risk zones. Residents should have shelter plans confirmed and alerts active well before Monday afternoon arrives. Stay with waldronnews.com for the latest weather updates and local forecast coverage.