BALTIMORE, MARYLAND – A Sunday into Monday system is still on the table for the Mid-Atlantic, but the latest ensemble guidance shows a wide spread in snowfall probabilities, especially for the Baltimore metro area. While it will not be exceptionally cold, the setup could feature a rain-to-snow transition. The key question now is how much…
PENNSYLVANIA – The reason weather talk is “pretty quiet” this morning is showing up at 500mb: the weekend pattern doesn’t come together in time, and even when it tries, it’s not an ideal setup for a major East Coast storm. Instead of phasing into one stronger system, the energy looks split—with the southern piece sliding…
UNITED STATES — A split in the forecast pattern is creating two very different weather stories heading into late February: a potential nor’easter along the East Coast that may struggle to organize, and a more immediate severe weather setup taking shape across parts of the Midwest and Ohio Valley. Recent upper-level model guidance shows why…
UNITED STATES — A growing signal in the latest forecast guidance suggests a developing nor’easter could impact parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast Sunday into Monday, with potential storm tracks clustering just offshore of New Jersey, New York, and southern New England. New ensemble data highlighting possible storm locations and central pressure strengths for February…
ILLINOIS — A potentially significant severe weather setup is taking shape for Thursday afternoon and evening across eastern Missouri, southeast Iowa, much of Illinois, and into Indiana and Kentucky, as atmospheric ingredients begin aligning for isolated supercells capable of producing tornadoes, large hail, and damaging wind gusts. Forecast guidance and severe probability outlooks highlight a…
UNITED STATES — As the annual debate over daylight saving time approaches, a new visualization is sparking conversation by showing what sunrise and sunset times would look like at the start of summer if the country never turned clocks ahead in March. The data reveals dramatically earlier sunrises — some before 4:30 a.m. — and…
UNITED STATES — A rare February severe weather setup is taking shape across the Ohio Valley, with parts of Indiana, Ohio, and Kentucky highlighted for strong to potentially severe thunderstorms on Thursday, February 19. Forecast outlook graphics show a focused risk corridor stretching from central and southern Indiana into western and central Ohio and northern…
UNITED STATES — A volatile late-winter setup is taking shape for the upcoming weekend as forecast models signal a strong jet stream diving across the central United States, potentially triggering storm development from the Midwest into the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. However, confidence remains limited as the two primary global models show very different outcomes. Here…
PENNSYLVANIA — A developing winter weather pattern is raising the possibility of a significant Sunday afternoon through Monday morning snowstorm across parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast, with Pennsylvania, New Jersey, New York, and southern New England squarely in the “area to watch.” Forecast guidance shows a strengthening low-pressure system that could track near the…
UNITED STATES — Forecast guidance is increasingly pointing toward a developing storm system off the Mid-Atlantic and New England coastline late Sunday into Monday, with model projections showing a rapidly deepening low-pressure center just offshore. While confidence is growing that a storm will form, the exact track remains uncertain — and that will determine who…