UNITED STATES — A noticeable correction in the latest ensemble data now shows a stronger and more widespread shot of colder air spreading across the eastern half of the country, especially from the Great Lakes through the Midwest and into the Ohio Valley. Earlier model runs appeared to underdo the cold, but mid-day updates have…
UNITED STATES — A rare February severe weather setup is taking shape across the Ohio Valley for Thursday, with the Storm Prediction outlook highlighting a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) centered over parts of Indiana, Kentucky, and Ohio. This type of organized severe threat is uncommon for mid-to-late February in this region, and forecasters…
UNITED STATES — Another potential weekend snow threat is emerging for Baltimore and the surrounding Mid-Atlantic region as energy in both the northern and southern branches of the jet stream begins to align. While snow is far from guaranteed, forecast guidance shows the necessary ingredients starting to come together for a possible late-February storm around…
UNITED STATES — A developing storm system is expected to bring a risk of strong to severe thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening, February 19, across parts of the Midwest and Ohio Valley, including Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and Kentucky. Forecast guidance highlights a broad risk zone centered over the central Ohio Valley, with multiple modes of…
UNITED STATES — A strengthening coastal storm is showing signs of becoming a significant late-February Nor’easter, with the 6z GFS model run indicating a deepening 983mb low pressure system near the New Jersey coast early Monday, February 23. The setup supports widespread snow from eastern Pennsylvania through New York and into much of New England….
UNITED STATES — A side-by-side look at NOAA sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly maps from mid-February 2012 and mid-February 2026 reveals a dramatic shift in Pacific Ocean patterns — highlighting just how different today’s setup is compared to one of the more pronounced cold phases of the last decade. The 2012 map shows a strongly…
UNITED STATES — Florida picked up scattered rainfall over the past 24 hours, with some central counties receiving more than an inch — and a few isolated areas topping 2 inches — but much of the peninsula saw lighter totals that will only make a small dent in ongoing drought conditions. The latest 24-hour rainfall…
UNITED STATES — Medium-range guidance is signaling the potential for back-to-back severe weather events across the Ohio Valley and lower Great Lakes region on Wednesday and Thursday, February 18–19, 2026. Forecast probability maps for Day 4 (Wednesday) and Day 5 (Thursday) show overlapping risk zones centered on portions of Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and Kentucky,…
UNITED STATES — The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has issued a 15% severe weather probability area (equivalent to a Level 2 out of 5 “Slight Risk”) for Thursday, February 19, 2026, highlighting parts of the Midwest and Ohio Valley for potential strong storms. The highlighted yellow region stretches across portions of: Eastern Missouri Southern and…
UNITED STATES — A significant round of snowfall is forecast to blanket the snow drought–stricken Intermountain West through February 25, delivering widespread double-digit totals across the mountains of California, Oregon, Washington, Idaho, Utah, Nevada, Colorado, Wyoming and New Mexico. While the incoming snow won’t completely erase long-term moisture deficits, forecasters say meaningful relief is on…