UNITED STATES — A major disruption is unfolding high above the Arctic, and new model guidance suggests it could translate into a sharp Eastern U.S. cold pattern by mid-March — potentially impacting Arkansas and much of the Southern Plains. Recent ECMWF stratospheric data valid around March 6 shows a clear polar vortex split in the…
UNITED STATES — A strengthening subsurface warm signal east of the international dateline is now measuring stronger than what was observed at the same time in 1997 — the year that went on to produce one of the most powerful El Niño events on record. New five-day equatorial Pacific data ending February 24, 2026, shows…
UNITED STATES — A notable pattern change is taking shape across the Central and Eastern United States, with significantly warmer temperatures expected from March 6 through March 15, including across Arkansas and much of the Southern Plains. The latest temperature outlook map shows widespread above-average warmth stretching from Texas and Oklahoma through Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi,…
WASHINGTON, D.C. — The nation’s capital is experiencing its most severe winter in more than 15 years, with new data showing the 2025–2026 season ranks as the harshest since the historic 2009–2010 winter. According to the Midwest Regional Climate Center’s Accumulated Winter Season Severity Index (AWSSI), this winter currently sits on the borderline between the…
WYOMING — A powerful cold front is pushing south out of Wyoming into Nebraska and is set to surge through Colorado and western Kansas through the afternoon and evening, bringing strong winds, mountain snow and scattered thunderstorms to parts of the central Rockies and High Plains. The frontal boundary, already slicing across southern Wyoming near…
THORNTON, COLORADO — Evacuation orders were issued after a fire broke out in Thornton, prompting authorities to clear homes, businesses and a local high school while shutting down a major stretch of Interstate 25. According to the alert, evacuations are underway in parts of Thornton due to an active fire. Officials confirmed that I-25 is…
UNITED STATES — The weather pattern across the central United States is shifting, with attention turning away from winter storms and toward an increasingly favorable severe weather setup from March 3 through March 10. New accumulated supercell composite parameter data for Week 2 shows a concentrated corridor of higher severe storm favorability centered over parts…
MISSISSIPPI — A subtle but potentially concerning tornado setup is taking shape across central Mississippi into west-central Alabama Thursday evening, with areas including Jackson, Meridian, Tuscaloosa and Birmingham positioned near a narrow corridor of enhanced storm ingredients. Forecasters are describing the threat as “sneaky” — not because the environment looks explosive at first glance, but…
JAMAICA — Hurricane Melissa has officially entered the history books, tying the record for the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the Atlantic Basin and delivering catastrophic Category 5 conditions at landfall near New Hope, Jamaica. New details confirm that Melissa reached 190 mph sustained winds, matching Hurricane Allen (1980) for the highest sustained wind speed…
UNITED STATES — After a brief lull, the atmospheric pattern across the Southern Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley appears primed for another round of severe weather as rich Gulf moisture surges northward into Texas, Oklahoma, Louisiana and Arkansas ahead of a developing system around March 8. Forecast model data valid Sunday evening shows a sharp…