TALLAHASSEE, Florida — North and west Florida are facing a credible severe storm threat this Saturday, with atmospheric analog analysis placing the highest severe weather probability at 60% across the Panhandle and northern portions of the state where stronger instability and wind shear are both present. Three historical analog dates — April 1, 2020, March…
CRESSON, Texas — One of the more dangerous and disorienting moments from Tuesday’s severe weather outbreak in north Texas unfolded south of Cresson when a tornado formed in an unexpected location, tracked northeast behind a storm chaser’s position, then deviated sharply southwest toward Texas 171 — moving directly back toward the highway and the observer…
AUSTIN, Texas — Heavy rainfall will bring a serious flash flooding threat across a broad corridor from Texas eastward into Alabama through Thursday and Friday, and the danger it carries is not limited to the rain itself. More than 50 percent of all flood fatalities are vehicle-related, and the message from forecasters heading into this…
MIAMI, Florida — The Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season does not officially begin until May 15, and already the Climate Prediction Center has flagged a potential area of tropical development for the mid-May window. The disturbance area, shown in the tropical weather outlook valid May 13 through May 19, carries a currently low chance of development…
BISMARCK, North Dakota — The early to mid-May planting outlook is delivering a clear divide across the central United States, and the split between agricultural haves and have-nots is sharp. Farmers across the Northern Plains are looking at the best dry windows of the spring planting season, with conditions expected to run much below normal…
ORLANDO, Florida — A long and weather-active weekend is taking shape across the Florida Peninsula after weeks of a simple, locked-in pattern. Two distinct and very different threats arrive back to back. Saturday brings dangerous fire weather as strong winds and dry air ahead of an approaching front create conditions that could allow fires to…
DODGE CITY, Kansas — A critical forecast accuracy warning is being issued for farmers and ranchers across the west and southwest High Plains. The National Blend of Models total liquid precipitation forecast through Saturday morning is significantly overdoing rainfall amounts across a broad area from Dodge City, Kansas westward toward Clovis, New Mexico, and the…
DALLAS, Texas — North Texas is facing a significant life and property threat over the next few hours. Giant, destructive hail is moving directly over the Dallas-Fort Worth MetroPlex right now, and the window for the most intense activity runs from 3:00 PM through 7:00 PM. Every vehicle still outside needs to be under sturdy…
DALLAS, Texas — The Storm Prediction Center has issued a Level 4 out of 5 Moderate Risk upgrade for the Dallas-Fort Worth MetroPlex and surrounding communities, driven by higher confidence in very large to giant hail from intense supercells expected to develop across the region today. The upgrade reflects a forecast that has moved beyond…
CHICAGO, Illinois — The final storm report tally from Monday April 27 is in, and it tells the story of a severe weather day that was genuinely significant but fell short of its most dangerous potential. The SPC Storm Reports for April 27, 2026 show 490 total preliminary reports concentrated across a corridor from Illinois…