ORLANDO, Florida — The Florida rainfall picture for May 1 through May 4 is coming into sharper focus with the April 30 update, and it reveals a tale of two Floridas. North Florida is locked in for a good soaking with an elevated and slight severe weather risk attached, and South Florida is seeing increasing…
TALLAHASSEE, Florida — A lingering frontal boundary is setting up a two-day storm event across the upper Gulf Coast, north Florida, and lower Georgia from Friday May 1 through Saturday May 2, with storm outlooks issued for both days placing the region inside active thunderstorm and marginal severe weather zones. The front is not moving…
NEW YORK, New York — After several days of chilliness and rain across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, Tuesday May 5 stands out as the one genuinely pleasant day in the next five for communities east of the Appalachian Mountains. The setup relies entirely on timing. A cold front will eventually push through the region Tuesday,…
NORMAN, Oklahoma — A University of Oklahoma capstone research project is drawing widespread attention after being featured in USA Today and Fox Weather, and for good reason. The study by researcher Michael Ferragamo maps hurricane landfall return periods for all 154 coastal counties from Texas to Maine, using the official HURDAT2 database covering 174 years…
AUSTIN, Texas — Heavy rainfall is pushing through Texas in two distinct rounds, and the combination is raising serious river flooding concerns from Central Texas through East and Southeast Texas through early Saturday morning. The first round targeting the Edwards Plateau and Hill Country on Thursday is giving way to a second round hitting Central…
LOUISVILLE, Kentucky — The 2026 Kentucky Derby is heading toward a historically cold race day, with temperatures at Churchill Downs topping out around just 61 degrees Fahrenheit on Saturday May 2, making this the coldest Kentucky Derby since 1997. The good news for the racing surface is that a fast track is likely despite the…
TALLAHASSEE, Florida — A Level 1 Marginal Risk for severe weather has been issued for northern and central Florida this Saturday, covering 2,877,090 residents across a corridor that includes Tallahassee, Jacksonville, and Gainesville. Storms capable of producing strong wind, hail, and a tornado are possible throughout the day, with forecasters noting that tornado potential cannot…
PENSACOLA, Florida — A significant and fast-moving development in the Florida weekend forecast has shifted the severe weather timeline dramatically. The storm line targeting Florida this Saturday has pushed forward by nearly 12 full hours compared to forecasts from just a few days ago, meaning the Panhandle tornado threat now arrives around 9AM Saturday morning…
JACKSON, Mississippi — Multiple forecasting tools are converging on a potential severe weather outbreak across the Southeast for Wednesday May 6, with the highest probability signals centering over Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas, and Tennessee. This is a Day 7 forecast, meaning confidence is still building and details will sharpen considerably as the week progresses, but the…
TALLAHASSEE, Florida — North Florida is tracking a credible severe weather threat this Saturday, and two historical analog dates are providing important context for what the atmosphere may produce. The analogs calculated using current model data point to April 20, 2020 and April 8, 2018 as the closest matches to this weekend’s atmospheric setup. Both…