KANSAS CITY, Missouri — The second half of May is shaping up to bring a significant increase in severe weather chances across the central and eastern United States as temperatures turn much warmer after May 15 and stay that way. A machine learning total severe probability forecast valid May 20, 2026 shows the pattern becoming…
TULSA, Oklahoma — Northern Oklahoma is producing a handful of high-based, visually dramatic supercells Friday afternoon that are generating spectacular lightning photography opportunities even as the overall severe threat remains limited. Strong deep-layer wind shear, steep lapse rates and mostly streamwise shear vectors are driving storms that look convective and explosive rather than smooth and…
CHICAGO, Illinois — The end of May is shaping up to bring a significant return of severe weather across the Plains and Midwest, with multiple long-range signals pointing toward warmer and more humid air surging northward into the central United States while stronger troughs eject out of the western United States — a classic recipe…
OKLAHOMA CITY, Oklahoma — Scattered strong to severe storms are developing across Oklahoma and into north Texas this afternoon and evening along a southward-moving cold front. Damaging winds and large hail are the primary concerns with any storm that reaches severe limits, but a tornado or two cannot be entirely ruled out — particularly if…
CHARLOTTE, North Carolina — The Truist Championship at Quail Hollow is getting one of the better weather weekends a PGA tournament could ask for in Charlotte. Saturday brings a brief light rain chance in the morning that clears completely by afternoon, with temperatures climbing to 77 degrees by 5 PM. Sunday is virtually rain-free all…
MINNEAPOLIS, Minnesota — A powerful omega block pattern is forecast to lock into place across the United States from May 19 through May 24, trapping warm air across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest for an extended stretch while pushing moisture south and away from the drought-stricken central Plains. The pattern gets its name from…
NEW YORK, New York — The 1938 New England Hurricane — a catastrophic storm that struck Long Island and coastal southern New England without warning — has been reconstructed using modern forecast cone technology to show what today’s computer models would have communicated to the public 48 hours before landfall. The result is sobering. Modern…
BALTIMORE, Maryland — Severe drought conditions expanded across central Maryland as of Thursday May 7, 2026, now covering Frederick, Baltimore, Harford and Cecil counties as well as more of the Delmarva Peninsula. The expansion comes despite light rain falling Wednesday — Baltimore’s BWI airport recorded only 0.14 inches Wednesday and a combined 0.29 inches including…
ORLANDO, Florida — Florida is breaking or approaching record high temperatures across much of the peninsula Thursday May 7, 2026, with highs ranging from 94 to 96 degrees across central and eastern Florida. The dangerous heat is combining with low humidity and elevated winds to create critical fire weather conditions across much of the eastern…
INDIANAPOLIS, Indiana — The next 7 days through May 14, 2026 will bring additional shower chances across the Midwest and Ohio Valley with more breaks between systems compared to the exceptionally wet April that just wrapped up. The heaviest rainfall totals through May 14 are concentrated across Indiana, Ohio and Kentucky with Indianapolis, Columbus, Dayton…