MIAMI, Florida — Florida’s rainy season is one month away, and after a dry stretch across much of the state, the timing could not be more welcome. From June through September, two-thirds of Florida’s entire yearly rainfall falls in just four months, delivering 2 to 3 feet of rain across the state through a combination…
CHICAGO, Illinois — A significant severe weather event is taking shape across the Midwest and Mid-South for Monday, April 27, and forecasters are not hedging on the threat type. All significant severe hazards are possible — strong and long-tracked tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging wind gusts exceeding 75 mph — across a volatile warm…
BIRMINGHAM, Alabama — An unsettled and potentially dangerous week is taking shape across Alabama, with multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms expected to push through the state from Monday night through at least Thursday. The northern half of Alabama carries the heaviest rainfall burden — 2 to 3 inches total through Sunday May 3 —…
CHICAGO, Illinois — Monday’s severe weather system is not arriving without a significant rainfall and flooding companion. Flooding concerns are running parallel to the severe storm threat across the Midwest, with 24-hour rainfall totals from 2 AM April 27 through 2 AM April 28 showing a concentrated heavy rain corridor cutting through Nebraska, Iowa, Illinois…
SPRINGFIELD, Illinois — The atmospheric state across the Midwest severe weather corridor is coming into sharper focus Saturday afternoon, and the ingredients assembling across Illinois and Indiana deserve a careful read. The risk zone currently sits in the right exit region of the upper-level jet stream — a position that suppresses storm development — but…
CHICAGO, Illinois — A significant severe weather outbreak is taking shape across the Midwest and Mid-South for Monday, April 27, with forecasters maintaining a Level 3 Enhanced Risk across parts of Illinois, Indiana and Kentucky while acknowledging that a Level 4 Moderate Risk was actively considered before uncertainties around early day convection held the outlook…
OKLAHOMA CITY, Oklahoma — A two-phase severe weather and heavy rainfall event is unfolding across a wide swath of the central United States this weekend, with active thunderstorms and heavy rainfall currently hammering the Oklahoma-Arkansas-Louisiana-Texas border region through Sunday before a developing low pressure system shifts the entire thunderstorm and heavy rain threat northward into…
DES MOINES, Iowa — The setup for Monday, April 27 across Iowa, Nebraska and South Dakota carries real severe weather potential — and a real threat of never delivering it. A mesoscale convective system tracking through the northern tier of the risk zone overnight could dump heavy rainfall across the region and stabilize the atmosphere…
OKLAHOMA CITY, Oklahoma — The fail mode that forecasters warned about earlier today is now happening across Oklahoma. Over-convection has taken hold, meaning too many storms have fired simultaneously and are now competing with each other for the same warm inflow air. That competition is strangling the individual supercell structure that produces long-track tornadoes, and…
SPRINGFIELD, Illinois — The tornado outbreak that forecasters have been warning about for days across Illinois is now unfolding in real time. Radar shows an organized line of intense storm cores pushing northeast through the heart of Illinois, with the most dangerous activity concentrated in a corridor running from Springfield and Quincy north through Peoria,…