Weather News

LITTLE ROCK, Arkansas — The much-anticipated northern Arkansas tornado and hail threat has largely failed to materialize through Tuesday evening, with storms developing on the northern fringe of the instability zone rather than tapping into the richest CAPE and producing the organized supercells forecasters were watching for. However, the event is not over. Additional storm…

WASHINGTON, D.C. — Wednesday brings two distinct rounds of wet weather to Virginia, Maryland and Washington D.C., separated by a midday break before scattered and potentially heavier storms arrive in the afternoon. Outdoor plans across Fairfax, Montgomery County, Prince George’s County and the D.C. metro should account for rain from the morning commute through the…

JACKSON, Mississippi — Wednesday afternoon and evening is shaping up as a genuinely dangerous severe weather period across Mississippi, Louisiana and Alabama, with supercells expected to develop and take advantage of an environment where the Supercell Composite reaches 20.4, a PDS TOR hazard flag is active and CAPE values at the lowest 0 degrees Celsius…

KANSAS CITY, Missouri — A positively tilted trough combining with a surface cold front drifting across the middle of the country is generating three consecutive days of severe weather across the Central United States, with a Slight Risk in place each day from Monday, May 4 through Wednesday, May 6. Each day carries a distinct…

LITTLE ROCK, Arkansas — Tuesday’s severe weather outlook has been formally upgraded with tornado probabilities reaching 5 percent across central Arkansas and far southeastern Oklahoma, and a CIG1 corridor now exists within the risk zone meaning any tornadoes that form carry the potential to reach EF2 strength. The Day 2 outlook issued Monday, May 4…

TAMPA, Florida — A significant advancement in hurricane wind forecasting is coming to operational use this summer, and data from Hurricane Milton’s 2024 landfall near Tampa Bay, Florida reveals exactly why the upgrade matters. A new wind gust parameterization tool, developed for the HAFS hurricane forecast system, shows that while standard 10-meter sustained wind forecasts…

NEW ORLEANS, Louisiana — Another frontal system is pushing into the Southeast by Thursday and Friday, bringing a fresh round of storms along the upper Gulf Coast through Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama. A formal severe weather probability zone with a 15 percent tornado probability core is already drawn over southern Mississippi and Alabama, and a…

CHARLOTTE, North Carolina — Thursday is shaping up as a day worth watching across the Carolinas, Georgia and Tennessee, not as a major severe weather outbreak but as a setup where warm and unstable air could allow a couple of thunderstorms to become strong if they can get organized. The bigger story for many drought-affected…

JACKSON, Mississippi — The Wednesday, May 6 tornado threat has sharpened significantly with a Monday morning forecast update placing Mississippi and Alabama inside a yellow-shaded 50 percent tornado probability core, a notable upgrade from earlier outlooks that showed only a 40 percent maximum. The highest confidence zone has tightened and shifted slightly east compared to…

LITTLE ROCK, Arkansas — Two consecutive days of severe weather are taking shape across Arkansas, Mississippi and Texas on Tuesday, May 5 and Wednesday, May 6, 2026, with each day carrying a distinct threat profile and a different primary hazard. Tuesday brings the greatest tornado risk, concentrated in a dashed high-risk zone centered over Little…