Author: Colton Hayes

LITTLE ROCK, Arkansas — Tuesday’s severe weather outlook has been formally upgraded with tornado probabilities reaching 5 percent across central Arkansas and far southeastern Oklahoma, and a CIG1 corridor now exists within the risk zone meaning any tornadoes that form carry the potential to reach EF2 strength. The Day 2 outlook issued Monday, May 4…

TAMPA, Florida — A significant advancement in hurricane wind forecasting is coming to operational use this summer, and data from Hurricane Milton’s 2024 landfall near Tampa Bay, Florida reveals exactly why the upgrade matters. A new wind gust parameterization tool, developed for the HAFS hurricane forecast system, shows that while standard 10-meter sustained wind forecasts…

NEW ORLEANS, Louisiana — Another frontal system is pushing into the Southeast by Thursday and Friday, bringing a fresh round of storms along the upper Gulf Coast through Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama. A formal severe weather probability zone with a 15 percent tornado probability core is already drawn over southern Mississippi and Alabama, and a…

CHARLOTTE, North Carolina — Thursday is shaping up as a day worth watching across the Carolinas, Georgia and Tennessee, not as a major severe weather outbreak but as a setup where warm and unstable air could allow a couple of thunderstorms to become strong if they can get organized. The bigger story for many drought-affected…

JACKSON, Mississippi — The Wednesday, May 6 tornado threat has sharpened significantly with a Monday morning forecast update placing Mississippi and Alabama inside a yellow-shaded 50 percent tornado probability core, a notable upgrade from earlier outlooks that showed only a 40 percent maximum. The highest confidence zone has tightened and shifted slightly east compared to…

LITTLE ROCK, Arkansas — Two consecutive days of severe weather are taking shape across Arkansas, Mississippi and Texas on Tuesday, May 5 and Wednesday, May 6, 2026, with each day carrying a distinct threat profile and a different primary hazard. Tuesday brings the greatest tornado risk, concentrated in a dashed high-risk zone centered over Little…

LITTLE ROCK, Arkansas — Every major atmospheric data source is now pointing to Wednesday, May 6, 2026 as a significant and potentially dangerous severe weather day across Arkansas and Mississippi, with a cutoff low pressure system over the southwestern United States phasing with an eastern jet stream to concentrate extreme wind shear directly over the…

HOUSTON, Texas — An emerging El Nino pattern is shaping up to be the dominant force behind Summer 2026 temperatures across the United States, with a temperature outlook issued May 4, 2026 calling for an above-average summer across the South and West and a below-average summer across the Great Lakes, Upper Midwest and Northeast. By…

LITTLE ROCK, Arkansas — The atmosphere across Arkansas is loading up for a dangerous Wednesday evening, May 6, 2026, with conditions favorable for strong tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds as scattered supercells are expected to fire by evening across a state sitting directly in the crosshairs of a powerful low-level wind shear and moisture…

CHARLOTTE, North Carolina — The best rain chance in months is arriving for North Carolina and South Carolina this week, with Wednesday night into Thursday bringing the highest rainfall probability of the next seven days to a region that has been running significant moisture deficits for weeks. Totals will vary widely from 0.25 to over…